11-15-2009, 10:38 PM
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#1 |
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Chief of Naval Operations
  
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: raising my pimp hand strong
Posts: 13,038
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Colts win!!!! BTW, dumbest call ever by the hoody?
 can't believe they came back to win it! and i can't believe the pats went for it on their own 30. wow.
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70% of the world is covered by water. The rest is covered by Bob Sanders |
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11-16-2009, 11:39 AM
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#2 |
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Admiral
 
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: East coast
Posts: 7,116
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Belichick is arrogant. I was cheering for Indy the whole time because....well, I dislike New England. When the Pats lined up to go for it on 4th down, I was like wth?
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11-16-2009, 01:28 PM
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#3 |
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Captain
 
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: Beaverton, OR
Posts: 1,529
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I wish more teams would go for it on 4th and short.
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-The nerd formerly known as vectorcalculus |
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11-16-2009, 04:00 PM
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#4 |
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Chief of Naval Operations
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: raising my pimp hand strong
Posts: 13,038
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on their own 28???
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11-16-2009, 05:00 PM
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#5 |
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Captain
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: Beaverton, OR
Posts: 1,529
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I didn't watch the game, so I don't know the full setup, but in general I think most teams under value the expected return of going for it over punting. And in this case, it was basically a case of "get these 2 yards and win the game", right? Vs punting where the other team has a 2 minute drill scenario.
Here's someone else's analysis I saw earlier: http://fifthdown.blogs.nytimes.com/2...down-decision/ |
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11-16-2009, 05:49 PM
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#6 |
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Rear Admiral Lower Half
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Charlotte, NC
Posts: 2,533
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Based on Manning's track record I don't have a problem with NE going for it on 4th and 2. You figure that NE has a 60% or 70% chance of picking up that 1st down. I'd say that Manning in a 2 minute drill where he has 4 downs at his disposal has at least a 50/50 chance of scoring a TD starting at his own 30. Add to that the fact that NE's defense isn't quite what it used to be.
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It only ends once... Anything that happens before that is just progress. Courage is not the absence of fear but rather the judgment that something else is more important than fear. |
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11-16-2009, 08:17 PM
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#7 |
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Admiral
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: East coast
Posts: 7,116
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He already threw 2 picks, so I would say that running a 2 minute drill for a 60-70 yd drive is not a gimmie. Demoralizing your defense and giving Manning the ball on your 28 with almost 2 minutes to go is a gimmie.
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11-17-2009, 08:27 AM
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#8 |
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What's Da Pho*?
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: SoCal (714)
Posts: 13,296
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If Belichick is confident on his offense, he should have let Indy gets the TD. Then NE would get the ball back with a over 1 minute and only need a FG to win the game.
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11-17-2009, 12:02 PM
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#9 | |
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Rear Admiral Lower Half
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Charlotte, NC
Posts: 2,533
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Quote:
The colts milked the clock at the end to ensure there wasn't enough time left on the clock. |
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11-17-2009, 10:31 PM
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#10 |
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Admiral
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: East coast
Posts: 7,116
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I think what he is saying is that they wouldn't have ever tackled anyone on Indy's team. When Clark caught that pass over the middle to start the final drive they should have just let him score.
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11-18-2009, 08:28 AM
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#11 | |
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What's Da Pho*?
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: SoCal (714)
Posts: 13,296
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Quote:
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