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#1 |
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lilbigblue
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Options trading
Anybody do this or know anything about it. I've been teaching myself the fundamentals, but don't dare trade with real money. I figure i'll give myself at least another year to study this stuff.
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#2 |
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Chief of Naval Operations
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pretty much you buy an option to either buy or sell at a certain month....
i think the option expires on the 3rd friday of the month (something important happens that friday).... ok, i'm just confused....my friend kinda explained it to me...but i didn't catch the whole thing. all i know is he made a bundle on some G&E options.. |
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#3 |
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Lieutenant Commander
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Location: NYC
Posts: 588
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Trading options you have pretty much 50/50 chance to win or lose. In other words it's either taker or the writer wins never both. Options traiding is for people with guts.
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#4 |
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Chief of Naval Operations
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Location: woah... why is welfareloser here with me so early in the morning and more importantly why am I wearing her clothes?!?
Posts: 13,445
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you're purchasing the right to buy a stock at a future price. So the less probable that price is the cheaper that option.
For instance if a stock is 10 bucks and it's the first of the month and you buy an option to purchase the stock for 30 bucks (keep in mind the option expires in about 3 weeks) then the only way to exercise it is if the price is above 30 bucks on the day the option expires. It's going to be cheap to buy this option because the likelihood of this happening is very low. Same thing on the sell side... if the stock is 30 and you buy an option to sell at 10... the stock has to be below 10 on the day of expiration. Should be cheap to buy. It's sort of insurance that you'll get a better price. If the option expires you lose the money you put in. Of course you can sell the option at any time. If for instance the next day, after you buy a call option to buy at 30, the stock has great news and jumps to 28. Well then the likelihood of it passing 30 is much higher and the value of your option to buy has increased dramatically. Then you can sell the put and make a profit without ever exercising the option. I think this is right.
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********************************** DCM #1 (Founder) ![]() "Nobody beats Vitus Gerulaitis 18 times in a row." - Vitus Gerulaitis on beating Jimmy Connors after 17 failed attempts. |
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#5 | |
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Vice Admiral
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Location: Northern VA
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Quote:
That is a perfect explaination. Kenas, your explaination is somewhat misleading. Options are no different than stocks in the idea that somebody ALWAYS loses. Stocks and options are zero sum gains, for every winner there is an equal loser. Options have tremendous ability to make a ton of money. Utilizing a strong leverage position with options, an investor with a good nose for a stock can pick out a stock that is under-valued, set down a small chunk of money, wait for the option to hit the strike price and then exercise it. The price at which you purchase the underlying stock is the strike price. Lets say you buy an option for $3 on AOL to strike at $60. Thus, in order to break even, your stock would have to hit $63 (strike+cost of option). Anything above 63 will be profit. If you buy a put option (right, but not obligation to sell) and you hold AOL, it protects you from a downside. Thus, if you have a put option with a 57 strike, if AOL went to $50, the person who sold the put option HAS to buy your stock for $57 if you want to sell it. Your breakeven point is $57 (60-$3), any price below that you can buy AOL on the market (say at 54) and sell it at 57, netting $3 profit. You can sell options to make money. This is VERY risky. Buying puts and calls limit you to a downside of ONLY the purchase price of the option. However, selling options HAS UNLIMITED DOWNSIDE (for calls) and a lot for puts. For example, if you sold a put option to a guy who has AOL, its exercise price is $57 and AOL tanks to ZERO, then you HAVE to buy that stock for $57, the purchaser could buy 100 shares (most options are for 100 shares standard) of AOL at ZERO and sell it to you at FIFTY SEVEN, thus you lose $5700. If you sell a call, your downside is unlimited. If you sell AOL call for $3, strike of 60, then AOL goes up to $100, that person can buy AOL from you fro $60 and sell it on the market for $100, making $40 for every share and a total of $4000 profit. Breakeven points for selling a call/put is inverse to buying them. If you sold a call, your breakeven is $57 (covered call) and priceStock-PriceCall. An option is "In the money" when its current stock price is ABOVE (or below for put) the strike price. It is "At the money" when the underlying asset is AT the strike price. It is "out of the money" when the stock price is BELOW (above for puts) the strike price. There are two basic types of options, there are American and European options. American options can be exercised AT ANY TIME. European options can only be exercised at certain points in the life of the option. The 3rd friday of March, June, September, and December is known as "triple witching" day. This is when option dates expire and often leads to massive variations in stock prices. ------------USES OF OPTIONS------------------ Options are EXTREMELY useful if you think you know something the market does not (or you know you know something). Most often, options are used in regards to insider trading. This is because options are dang cheap when they are "deep out of the money" This means that a call option (right to buy) has a strike price WAY above the current asset price. If there is sudden news that a company is doing well, then the option price increases MORE than the asset price. When an option is deep out of the money, its price fluctuates 2-3x more than the underlying stock. Thus a 10% increase in stock price that moves a DOM option nearer to the strike, the option price might increase 30-40%. Once a option becomes "in the money" it moves 1-1 with the underlying asset prices. There was one case where some guys bought 5000 DOM options (total of 500,000 shares) on a drug company because they knew a drug would get approved. They bought them for .50. When it was done, each option was worth $6 or so. This means their initial investment of $2500 was worth 30,000, and that was only with a 15% increase in the stock price. Options can also be used as a "protective put", which ensures that if a stock goes down, you are protected from it going too far down. This is basically insurance, you pay a premium to get protected from bad stuff, and you are paying somebody else to assume the risk. There are many different combinations of option strategies. You can sell a put and a call option, which is called a butterfly. You make money off of the comissions, maximizing your profit when the stock doesn't move anywhere. Thus, if the strike for AOL was 60 and at the expiration, AOL stock was at 60, you just gained $6. However, if the stock goes up or down past $6, then you have unlimited downside risk. If you buy a call and buy a put, then any time a stock moves beyond the combined price of the options, then you have unlimted profit. Loss is limited to the combined option prices. There is also a Bull/Bear spreads, where you sell the more valuable option and buy a cheaper option. Depending on which way you think the market will go, you will make money off of the price spread between the two options. You can also create synthetic options by combining option+stock positions. If you buy a stock and buy a put, that is equal to a call (unlimited upside and very little down (downside is only the option premium of the call). You can also buy a call and short sell a stock. Thus, if the price of the stock goes down you can have unlimited gain. However, if it goes up you are protected from losing too much since you can buy at a low price to cover your short, this is a synthetic put, it protects you from downside risk. I can't think of all of the spreads, but there are a bunch that I have to start remembering for my exam. If you need any other info lemme know. But back to investing with options. Larger price movements are to your advantage, as is fundamental analysis that point to a large over/under valuation of a company. Options are cheap way of taking advantage of this type of information. If you are right and a stock fly's up, then your earnings are multiplied MUCH faster than if you had bought the stock (leverage effects). If your wrong, you are limited to the comission (if you were buying calls/puts). I WOULD NOT sell options, as it can get you into MASSIVE trouble if you aren't careful and know how to hedge yourself very well. Options are just like futures in the fact that if you are on the right side, your earnings are multiplied due to leverage. However, if you are on the wrong side, your losses are multiplied also. When I Was playing a stock game for my derivatives course I made a ton of money off NVDA since they had some negative earnings announcements which drove their price down. I had bought put options that became VERY valuable quickly. LK |
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#6 |
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lilbigblue
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LK-
You mention that if I were to purchase an Put or Call option that I would HAVE to exercise it (buy/sell at a certain strike price). I was under the assumption that the option is only a right to buy/sell at a certain price, but not an obligation to. Hence, I could trade the option itself, right? For example: I buy Call Option X for 1.00 with expiration in 12 months. In the 11th month, the Call Option price has risen to 20 bucks. Couldn't I just sell the Call Option for 20 bucks and make a profit of 19? |
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#7 | |
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Vice Admiral
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Location: Northern VA
Posts: 4,927
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Quote:
Buying a call or put is the right, not the obligation to buy/sell. However, selling a call or put is the OBLIGATION to buy/sell at the whim of the purchaser. You are correct in saying that you can just sell the option, all of my examples are holding the option to exercise date. As long as you have sold the option you are at risk. LK |
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#8 | |
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lilbigblue
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Quote:
So going Long on the option is the right, but not the obligation. Going Short on the option is the obligation, correct? Therefore, the Long call or put is less risky. The maximum I could lose is the value I paid for the options. |
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#9 | |
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Vice Admiral
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Location: Northern VA
Posts: 4,927
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Thats exactly it! LK |
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#10 | |
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Chief of Naval Operations
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Location: LEVITTOWN< PA> USA
Posts: 12,601
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Quote:
Or people who just like to gamble and are foolish with their money. A friend of mine played the options game and lost $90,000.
__________________
Government's view of the economy could be summed up in a few short phrases: If it moves, tax it. If it keeps moving, regulate it. And if it stops moving, subsidize it. - Ronald Reagan (1986) |
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#11 | |
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Vice Admiral
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Location: Northern VA
Posts: 4,927
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I completely disagree with this. Your friend probably wasn't educated on the risks of options and he probably wrote calls/puts, otherwise he wouldn't have lost 90k. Uneducated people shouldn't play with things they do not understand. LK |
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#12 |
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Chief of Naval Operations
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Location: LEVITTOWN< PA> USA
Posts: 12,601
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No matter how educated people are, it's gambling, pure and simple.
There are educated gamblers and uneducated gamblers. In either case, it's still the same thing. |
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#13 | |
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Vice Admiral
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Location: Northern VA
Posts: 4,927
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Quote:
Again, I completely disagree. Investing is not gambling if you are able to control your downside and you know the odds of winning or losing. Options were created to MINIMIZE risk for asset holders, thus, it is a hedge AGAINST a gamble. Another way to put it is that if you buy a revolver and have it loaded with 5 shots and 1 not. Then, you put it in the drawer and dont use it, you are safe. However, if you are stupid and start playing RR, then you are an uneducated idiot who screwed with something you shouldn't have. Guns are made (usually) to reduce risk (protect yourself). There are idiots who gamble with them and there are those who don't. Its not the gun's fault for taking the life. I have used options, quite successfully, before. I understand their downside IF I SELL THEM and I understand their VERY limited downside IF I BUY THEM. If you dont go in knowing the outcome, then you are gambling. I dont gamble. LK |
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#14 | |
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Chief of Naval Operations
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Location: LEVITTOWN< PA> USA
Posts: 12,601
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Quote:
"Odds of winning and losing." Sounds like gambling to me. |
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#15 | |
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Vice Admiral
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Location: Northern VA
Posts: 4,927
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Quote:
Again, its only gambling if you can't control the outcome. Options COMPLETELY control the downside outcome if you buy them. So, gambling is a 50/50 chance. Options are a KNOWN $3 MAXIMUM loss and an UNLIMITED potential gain. You are CERTAIN you will ONLY lose $3. Shizzit, if I could go to Vegas and ensure that I will ONLY lose $3 but will gain unlimited, I would make myself rich quite easily. The only thing you are 'gambling' with is how much you gain. LK |
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#16 |
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Chief of Naval Operations
![]() ![]() Join Date: May 2000
Location: LEVITTOWN< PA> USA
Posts: 12,601
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When you go to the casino with $100 and you tell yourself that you will walk away with either a $100 loss or a substantial win, you are doing the same thing if you stick to it.
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#17 |
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Chief of Naval Operations
![]() ![]() Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: woah... why is welfareloser here with me so early in the morning and more importantly why am I wearing her clothes?!?
Posts: 13,445
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If you are purely an options guy it's much more risky than if you are using them to hedge against positions you have with your stock portfolio. I'd imagine some are very good at doing options. Most are not.
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#18 |
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Rear Admiral Upper Half
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If you really want to know about options and advanced trading strategies, go to
http://www.cboe.com Aside from the tons of information you can learn, they have an options toolbox you can download for free to read more offline and look at different position strategies. download it here. Oh yeah, and I got my a$$ kicked in the options market. I bailed about 2 weeks short of a move that would have made all my money back. (I had been playing for 4 months.) You better have balls of rock or nerves of steel. The money moves REALLY quickly. And Johnnymk, in a casino, the odds are bucked against you. In the options market, the idea is to find an under or overvalued position and bank on it. It should always be more calculated than playing slots. Anyone who doesn't do the homework IS gambling.
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"I know the pieces fit, cause I watched them fall away." "Cold silence has A tendancy to Atrophy any Sense of compassion." MJK Last edited by gwilks98 : 02-10-2004 at 07:02 PM. |
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#19 |
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Admiral
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I normally like to do covered calls with my stocks. It is a very useful strategy and allows you to make decent money on your positions. The only drawback is that if your stock gets a serious run-up you will definitely get called and sell at the strike price versus what the market price might have been at the time.
I have used these on slow-moving positions I have held and made money on them month after month. Also, this is a nice way to exit out of a position for a set price and avoid the sales commission. If you don't know or understand what you're doing when you invest in the market you are gambling.
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I think over again My small adventures, my fears. The small ones that seemed so big, For all the vital things I had to get and to reach. And yet there is only one great thing, the only thing: To live to see the great day that dawns, And the light that fills the world. -old Inuit song |
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#20 | |
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Rear Admiral Lower Half
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Good post. It's kind of easy to say that options are "gambling" but the original intent of options was to hedge investments and reduce risk, they serve a legitimate purpose, but too many folks see the "leverage" benefit and make it into a lottery. Selling covered calls is a good strategy if it is a stock you like to hold and want to make a few $ on the side (at the risk of losing upside) |
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#21 |
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A Friend of a Friend
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This stuff sounds very interesting is there anyplace where I can read up on this stuff?
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#22 | |
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Rear Admiral Upper Half
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Scroll up... http://www.cboe.com. The options toolbox is pretty neat, and can be had here: http://www.cboe.com/LearnCenter/Software.asp |
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