|
|
#1 |
|
Chief of Naval Operations
![]() ![]() Join Date: May 2000
Location: LEVITTOWN< PA> USA
Posts: 13,621
|
Will High Energy Costs Derail the Recovery?
I know that the last time fuel prices doubled in 1979, the following several years was followed by high inflation. However, back then the Fed was raising interest rates once a month and workers were demanding COLA in their wages.
Even if the Fed doesn't raise interest rates and workers wages stay put, the cost of goods has to accelerate. Fuel is required in trucks for shipping, to manufacture whatever is being built in America and globally, in certain chemicals, fetilizers, etc. Plus, I would tend to believe that the cost of travelling would be up, whether in a car, SUV, trailer or by air, and could seriously affect many vacation hot spots.
__________________
“Socialism is a philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance, and the gospel of envy, its inherent virtue is the equal sharing of misery.” (Winston Churchill) |
|
|
|
|
|
#2 |
|
Admiral
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: California
Posts: 6,681
|
I have to believe this is going to be the case unfortunatly. However, the only good thing that may come out of this is the reduction in sales of high displacement SUV's and other gas guzzling vehicles. Those damn things create artifical Gasoline demand. Hybrid all the way baby!
![]()
__________________
"I remember my first orgasm, I just wish someone was there to share it with me..."11-05-2003 05:33 AM - Topane They that can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor safety. - Benjamin Franklin Religion is the sigh of the oppressed creature, the heart of a heartless world, & the soul of soulless conditions. It is the opiate of the masses. - Karl Marx Hell is other people - Jean-Paul Sartre
|
|
|
|
|
|
#3 |
|
Picture of the Day Guru
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Sunny San Diego
Posts: 8,756
|
Actually energy costs are not very high right now. In real terms (allowing for inflation) prices are lower than they were in the 80s. I think rewarding companies with tax breaks for leaving the country will have a larger impact. Job creation, while finally starting to improve, has been dismal and is the key to improving the overall economy- giving people money to spend on good and services. Bush's tax cuts mostly went to those who would not spend most of it and that is why it has not given much stimulus to the economy. The soaring budget is what will cause interest rates to rise and send things backwards as the government has to borrow more money and pay higher rates to do it. This happend after Reagan's tax cuts as well. Clinton and most governors squandered their surpluses by cranking up their spending rather than putting some aside for a rainy day.
__________________
I add new pictures to my photo gallery pretty regularly. You can see them here if you are interested: http://www.pbase.com/jeffryz
|
|
|
|
|
|
#4 | ||
|
Fleet Admiral
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
Quote:
I was thinking about this. Aren't the profit margins on SUV's so high that they pay for the cost of small little cheap cars and the R&D on newer technologies like hybrids? I could be wrong, but I think that's the conclusion I came to when I studied this a couple of years ago.
__________________
Quote:
|
||
|
|
|